KPI observatory

How the trajectory is calculated

• Recent pace: the yearly change from the first to the last numeric official value, (last - first) / years between them.
• When the official values rise and fall (for example Eco 1: 344, 408, 551 and 344), the first and last values alone would hide the movement between them, so the recent pace is the least-squares slope of all numeric values (a straight line fitted through them), and the compound rate comes from the same fit on their logarithms. The formula of each indicator says which method was used.
• Needed pace: (2030 target - last value) / years left until 2030.
• On pace when the recent pace is at least the needed pace; target reached when the last value already meets the target; on pace only if growth compounds when the yearly growth rate of the same years, kept until 2030, would reach the target although the linear pace would not; slower than needed otherwise.
• Not assessed: ranks, descriptions, indicators with fewer than two numeric values, and targets under review.
• Progress bars appear only where the value and the target share a unit.

The booklet marks each indicator with one of these four colours (page 4). The colours are not reproduced here; the booklet itself shows them. Some 2030 targets are still under discussion and shown as n/a; the targets of Communication 2b, Computing 2 and Simulation 3 and 4 are under review (booklet pages 3 and 20).

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