Skip to main content

Draft SRIA 2026: Computing and simulation

Draft SRIA 2026 overview / Technology roadmaps

Draft for consultation. This is the draft Strategic Research and Industry Agenda of the second phase of the public consultation, not an adopted agenda: chapters, goals and figures may change.

Source: Strategic Research and Industry Agenda (SRIA) for quantum technologies, Draft for the second phase of the public consultation (Quantum Flagship, 306 pages, PDF dated 2026-09-19). Summaries are in our own words; years, figures and targets are as stated, with the page.

Public consultation: closed on 2026-10-02, as stated on qt.eu. Comments were collected per chapter through the consultation page. qt.eu gives 2 October 2026 as the closing date for every chapter (consultation page and news post of 19 September 2026, read on 27 October 2026); the draft PDF (page 145) states 16 to 30 September. Responses went through one form per chapter on the consultation page.

Merges computing and simulation, puts more weight on fault-tolerant computing while keeping analogue, annealing and NISQ routes, and sets platform targets for logical qubits, circuit depth and clock rate, plus goals for algorithms, software and HPC integration.

Pages
3–42
Themes
Infrastructure, Standards and benchmarks, Security, space and defence, Supply chain

Drafting status: The chair notes that some sections are not yet fully developed and invites input; the KPI table lists indicators without values and the timeline is still to be generated. Page 4

Goals and milestones

Timeline of Computing and simulation in the draft SRIANumbered items by year. 2028: 2; 2030: 1, 3, 5, 14, 15, 17; 2035: 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 16.20262027202820292030203120322033203420352135141517467891011121316
Squares are goals, circles are dated milestones; the numbers match the list below.

Showing 17 of 17 items.

  1. Milestone by 2030

    Every platform should reach beyond-classical ("quantum supremacy") performance on a synthetic benchmark in Europe by 2030, as the entry point before useful applications.

    Draft SRIA, page 26

    What the portal shows today

    Technologies: Quantum computing and simulation

    • 1194 projects
    • 183 organisations
    • 20 courses and schools
    • 27 infrastructure entries
    • 18 deployment records

    Confirmed items on the portal, each counted once.

  2. Milestone by 2028

    Break even with error correction on a few platforms as soon as possible, and demonstrate fault-tolerant universal gates by 2028.

    Draft SRIA, pages 26 to 27

    What the portal shows today

    Technologies: Quantum computing and simulation

    • 1194 projects
    • 183 organisations
    • 20 courses and schools
    • 27 infrastructure entries
    • 18 deployment records

    Confirmed items on the portal, each counted once.

  3. Goal by 2035

    1000 logical qubits with logical error rates around 10^-6 by 2035; the draft calls this the lower edge of broad utility rather than an end point.

    “It is a threshold, not a plateau”

    Draft SRIA, page 26

    What the portal shows today

    Technologies: Quantum computing and simulation, Superconducting qubits, Trapped ions, Neutral atoms, Photonic qubits, Spin qubits in semiconductors

    • 1194 projects
    • 183 organisations
    • 20 courses and schools
    • 27 infrastructure entries
    • 18 deployment records

    Confirmed items on the portal, each counted once.

  4. Milestone by 2030

    Trapped ions: universal gates by 2030 and hundreds of logical qubits at an error rate of 1e-5, implemented on a full-stack computer in industry.

    Draft SRIA, page 30

    What the portal shows today

    Technologies: Trapped ions

    • 72 projects
    • 18 organisations
    • 0 courses and schools
    • 3 infrastructure entries
    • 1 deployment records

    Confirmed items on the portal, each counted once.

  5. Goal 2035 goals

    Neutral atoms: a fully fault-tolerant computer with more than 1000 logical qubits, a universal logical gate set, circuit depth above 10^12 and a logical clock rate above 1 kHz, integrated into European HPC and cloud.

    Draft SRIA, page 29

    What the portal shows today

    Technologies: Neutral atoms

    • 47 projects
    • 15 organisations
    • 0 courses and schools
    • 7 infrastructure entries
    • 5 deployment records

    Confirmed items on the portal, each counted once.

  6. Goal 2035 goals

    Photonic: manufacture photonic modules for fault tolerance and build HPC-integrated processors with more than 1000 logical qubits, circuit depth above 10^12 and a logical clock rate above 100 kHz, modular and networked.

    Draft SRIA, page 29

    What the portal shows today

    Technologies: Photonic qubits

    • 26 projects
    • 34 organisations
    • 0 courses and schools
    • 4 infrastructure entries
    • 4 deployment records

    Confirmed items on the portal, each counted once.

  7. Goal 2035 goals

    Spin qubits: a fully fault-tolerant computer with more than 1000 logical qubits, circuit depth above 10^12, a logical clock rate above 100 kHz and a form factor at a scale of 10 m2.

    Draft SRIA, pages 29 to 30

    What the portal shows today

    Technologies: Spin qubits in semiconductors

    • 73 projects
    • 7 organisations
    • 0 courses and schools
    • 4 infrastructure entries
    • 3 deployment records

    Confirmed items on the portal, each counted once.

  8. Goal in 2035

    Superconducting: run fully error-corrected algorithms on hundreds of qubits without unwieldy overhead, by making the best qubits first and then scaling; analogue and annealing processors show certified utility within HPC workflows.

    Draft SRIA, page 30

    What the portal shows today

    Technologies: Superconducting qubits, Quantum annealing

    • 149 projects
    • 53 organisations
    • 2 courses and schools
    • 12 infrastructure entries
    • 6 deployment records

    Confirmed items on the portal, each counted once.

  9. Goal 2035 goals

    Verified quantum advantage in 3 to 5 application areas against state-of-the-art classical methods, and complete fault-tolerant resource estimates for at least 20 industrially relevant problems.

    Draft SRIA, page 31

    What the portal shows today

    Technologies: Quantum software stack, Digital quantum simulation, Quantum computing and simulation

    • 1213 projects
    • 185 organisations
    • 22 courses and schools
    • 27 infrastructure entries
    • 18 deployment records

    Confirmed items on the portal, each counted once.

  10. Goal by 2035

    European software stacks become the default environment for hybrid quantum-classical workloads on EuroHPC, with domain applications validated against classical baselines at industrial scale.

    Draft SRIA, page 31

    What the portal shows today

    Technologies: Quantum software stack

    • 21 projects
    • 9 organisations
    • 3 courses and schools
    • 0 infrastructure entries
    • 0 deployment records

    Confirmed items on the portal, each counted once.

  11. Goal by 2035

    Operate several networked quantum computing infrastructures integrated with HPC and cloud, connecting different kinds of processors through dedicated interfaces.

    Draft SRIA, page 29

    What the portal shows today

    Technologies: Quantum computing and simulation, Quantum networks and repeaters

    • 1324 projects
    • 195 organisations
    • 21 courses and schools
    • 29 infrastructure entries
    • 18 deployment records

    Confirmed items on the portal, each counted once.

  12. Goal ambition for 2035

    Deliver verified quantum advantage through quantum simulation, maturing end-to-end materials-simulation workflows in which fermionic simulators work inside industrial modelling pipelines.

    Draft SRIA, page 28

    What the portal shows today

    Technologies: Analogue quantum simulators, Quantum simulation

    • 223 projects
    • 51 organisations
    • 0 courses and schools
    • 5 infrastructure entries
    • 0 deployment records

    Confirmed items on the portal, each counted once.

  13. Milestone first phase, until 2030

    Leading platforms routinely show beyond-classical performance on synthetic benchmarks and run fault-tolerant quantum memory beyond break-even, with access to prototypes.

    Draft SRIA, page 39

    What the portal shows today

    Technologies: Quantum computing and simulation

    • 1194 projects
    • 183 organisations
    • 20 courses and schools
    • 27 infrastructure entries
    • 18 deployment records

    Confirmed items on the portal, each counted once.

  14. Milestone mid-term (2027–2030)

    Beyond-classical performance and beyond-break-even error correction for all relevant platforms; consolidation at or above TRL 5; standardised interface definitions.

    Draft SRIA, page 42

    What the portal shows today

    Technologies: Quantum computing and simulation, Quantum simulation

    • 1194 projects
    • 183 organisations
    • 20 courses and schools
    • 27 infrastructure entries
    • 18 deployment records

    Confirmed items on the portal, each counted once.

  15. Goal long-term (2030–2035)

    Quantum utility demonstrated, computers running in production mode and broad industrial uptake, moving from TRL 6 to TRL 8 with large pan-European co-development centres.

    Draft SRIA, page 42

    What the portal shows today

    Technologies: Quantum computing and simulation, Quantum simulation

    • 1194 projects
    • 183 organisations
    • 20 courses and schools
    • 27 infrastructure entries
    • 18 deployment records

    Confirmed items on the portal, each counted once.

  16. Milestone by 2030 (high risk), by 2035 (medium risk)

    The draft expects post-quantum cryptography to become mandatory in the EU for high-risk uses by 2030 and medium-risk uses by 2035, and calls research into the security of these schemes strategic.

    Draft SRIA, page 40

    What the portal shows today

    Technologies: Post-quantum migration

    • 1 projects
    • 0 organisations
    • 0 courses and schools
    • 0 infrastructure entries
    • 0 deployment records

    Confirmed items on the portal, each counted once.

KPIs as stated in the draft

KPIs of Computing and simulation: values as stated in the draft
Objective and indicator2026 baseline2030 target2035 targetPage
Quantum utility Number of quantum utility demonstrations with a quantum error corrected gate-based (digital) quantum computerThe draft lists this indicator without values.not givennot givennot given33
Quantum utility Number of quantum utility demonstrations with an analog or simulation-based platformThe draft lists this indicator without values.not givennot givennot given33
Technical leadership Circuit size (Clifford unitary), NISQ or FTQCThe draft lists this indicator without values.not givennot givennot given33
Technical leadership Entanglement (size of GHZ state), NISQ or FTQCThe draft lists this indicator without values.not givennot givennot given33
Technical leadership Factoring (Shor’s algorithm), NISQ or FTQCThe draft lists this indicator without values.not givennot givennot given33
Technical leadership Error correction beyond break evenThe draft lists this indicator without values.not givennot givennot given33
Impact Number of use cases identified (QC / QS)The draft lists this indicator without values.not givennot givennot given33
Access Number of QC or QS user facilitiesThe draft lists this indicator without values.not givennot givennot given33
Access Number of HPC/QC or QS integrated networksThe draft lists this indicator without values.not givennot givennot given33
Technical leadership QEC cycles per hourThe draft lists this indicator without values.not givennot givennot given33
Technical leadership Certifiable metrics for logical computationThe draft lists this indicator without values.not givennot givennot given33

What the portal shows today

Read-only figures of this portal, for orientation; they are not SRIA figures and do not measure progress against the draft.

Confirmed items of the technologies of this chapter

  • 1213 projects
  • 185 organisations
  • 22 courses and schools
  • 27 infrastructure entries
  • 18 deployment records

Technology hubs: Quantum computing and simulation

Infrastructure deployment tracker

Current Flagship KPIs (SAB booklet 2025)

Suggested experts

People with recent published works in the matching technology families, from open sources (OpenAlex). Professional information only.

  • Markus Müller, RWTH Aachen University (39 quantum works on Quantum computing and simulation)
  • Ivano Tavernelli, IBM Research - Zurich (28 quantum works on Quantum computing and simulation)
  • Robert Wille, Technical University of Munich (28 quantum works on Quantum computing and simulation)
  • Karl Jansen, Deutsches Elektronen-Synchrotron DESY (23 quantum works on Quantum computing and simulation)
  • Udara Jayasinghe, University of Strathclyde (13 quantum works on Quantum computing and simulation)

More experts in the directory · About this directory